Moving Forward: An Update on the Addison Recorder

Three years ago, I sat down in Julius Meinl with some friends and tossed around the idea of starting our own website, a place where we could write what we wanted to write, where we could talk about sports, movies, games, drinks…the skies were the limit.

Now, as we draw closer to the third anniversary of the Recorder and with a stable of 15 writers, over 400 posts, and multiple new features coming soon, we felt it was time for an upgrade.

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the Fifth Line: Schadenfreude

No need for a clever lead-in this week. All we need is a single image:

HXuEVFx

Well, shit.

Broken Kane

Let’s rip the Band-Aid off right away: Patrick Kane will be out for 12 weeks, and the Blackhawks are in deep trouble. Any team who loses a league-leading scorer is going to take a hit. And while it’s unlikely that Chicago misses the playoffs, they suddenly look at lot less dangerous come playoff time. The first two rounds of the playoff will be against teams from the league’s toughest division — Nashville is obscene, St. Louis is a gritty rival, Winnipeg has been Chicago’s Achilles’ heel this season. [Read more…]

NCAA Hoops: If the Slipper Fits

Stephen F. Austin celebrating a 2014 tournament win. Photo credit

Stephen F. Austin celebrating a 2014 tournament win. Photo credit

Last week, we explored the statistical qualities of lowly seeded teams who pull upsets in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. While I recommend reading the full analysis here, the short version is: Intuitively, one might think that some combination of fixed strengths and variable luck contribute to most first round upsets. The first and easiest metrics that fit the bill are height and experience – two things teams either possess or don’t – and good three point shooting – an important variable that can change games or neutralize opponent strengths. I argue that recent Cinderella teams actually exhibit two tempo-free metrics, defensive turnover percentage, and steal percentage more reliably than they do height, experience, and good 3-point shooting.

With this theory in mind, we might actually be able to predict the most likely mid-major teams to pull significant upsets in the first round of this year’s tournament. To do so, I compiled a list of teams near the top of their conferences likely to receive a 10-or-lower seed should they make the tournament. I studied their team pages on KenPom.com, and awarded them “Slippers” based on their seasons to this point. I awarded Zero Slippers to teams least likely to score an upset, One Slipper to teams I think might bust brackets based on their matchup, and Two Slippers to teams ready to make their mark in March.

Iona – The Gaels have been a popular upset pick in recent years. Coach Tim Cluess ranks consistently in the top 10 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, and his teams play very quickly. To this point, Iona shoots the three with an amazing 40% accuracy, and they already clinched the regular season MAAC Title. Other than their 3-point percentage, though, the Gaels don’t show many signs of a team capable of winning tournament games. With their pace and shooting, they could get lucky, but I won’t count on it. One Slipper

Eastern Washington – EWU turned heads early this season winning in Assembly Hall against Indiana and taking Washington to the wire. Should they make the tournament, pundits and observers will point to these games as the early signs of a Cinderella run. I just don’t see it happening. The Eagles play very poor defense, and they don’t do enough well on offense to compensate. Even with a strong three-point shooting backcourt, opponent size affects their offense drastically. Zero Slippers

Stephen F. Austin – The Lumberjacks return four starters from last season’s Cinderella team. While they recently lost their first conference game in nearly two calendar years, they have displayed every characteristic of a team likely to win at least one game in March. Future major conference coach Brad Underwood has himself a top-20 offense, and while their defense struggles overall, they rank 7th nationally in  defensive turnover percentage and 46th overall in steal percentage. With a win at Memphis, and overtime loss to Northern Iowa, we know the Lumberjacks can compete with anyone. Two Slippers

Georgia State – Georgia State hasn’t made the NCAA Tournament since the legendary Lefty Driesell led them to a first round upset over Wisconsin in 2001. Last season, the Panthers went 17-1 in the Sun Belt before dropping a championship game heartbreaker to Louisiana-Lafayette.  The 2015 Panthers return a wealth of talent from that squad, averaging 2.22 years of experience, and they play a smart brand of basketball. They have an absurdly low number of shots blocked and balls stolen on offense. Conversely, their quick-hands defense causes turnovers on 23.3% of opponent possessions, and they rank 7th nationally in steal percentage. I expect something closer to a 12 or 11 seed for Georgia State, and a great shot to win a game. Two Slippers

North Carolina Central – NC Central is a favorite to make their second consecutive tournament appearance. The Eagles have the most experienced team in the country and only one loss to a team ranked 100 or lower on KenPom. They play really impressive shooting defense, ranking in the top 10 in both 2-point and 3-point percentage defense. While you can say plenty of kind things about this team, “tournament game winner” won’t be one of them. The committee rarely seeds teams from Historically Black conferences (SWAC and MEAC) higher than 15. In fact, the play-in game seems to have a spot reserved every year for at least one HBCU. NC Central is unlikely to play a winnable game and even less likely to pull an upset. Zero Slippers

UC-Davis – This team embodies the unpredictability of March Madness. The Aggies field one of the best offenses in college basketball. They make an otherworldly 45.7% (!!!) of their 3 point shots, and Arizona State transfer Corey Hawkins might be the best shooter in the nation. The highest rated team Davis has played all year, however, is 105th ranked UC-Irvine (a road win for the Aggies), so we have almost no idea how well they can play against stiff competition. I do think they will capture a Big West Title and make their first ever tournament. I’m not convinced they can replicate Florida Gulf Coast’s magical tournament run. One Slipper

The opening round games, particularly the unexpected wins, make the NCAA Tournament the most exciting post season in sports. Cinderellas of years past, Bryce Drew and Valpo, George Mason, Dunk City, may only win one or two games, but their legacies and their pop culture relevance lasts in video clips, SportsCenter Top 10 lists, and in basketball fans’ memories for decades. There will never be a magic formula to predict which team shocks the world, but there are signs that some teams will have better luck than others.

J&STAC: Writer Spotlight

-J. Michael Bestul is a writer for the Addison Recorder. Stephanie Ruehl is an artist who works in a comic book shop. They’re married and have a lot of discussions about comic books and graphic novels. Combine all that into a biweekly feature and you get “J. & Steph Talk About Comics.”

At the end of last year, we decided to spotlight the comic book artists that make us want to pick up a comic book or graphic novel. We turn now to the wordsmiths who craft the scripts behind the comics we love. This list is abridged, as our choices started to spiral out of control, threatening to take over more than just this post.

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Sweet, Sweet Vermouth

Last month, we looked at hot cocktails in a cold season, but winter libations are about more than just temperature. When the thermostat is bottoming out, I like my drinks to have some heft to them. The flavors are bold, with darker sweet notes and warm spices, and definitely with a nice heavy dose of herbs.

martinezWhich is why I love a good drink with sweet vermouth at this time of year. Granted, it’s an all-year, all-season love, but there’s something particularly satisfying about sweet vermouth in the winter. And here’s why I think you should join me in imbibing this lovely fortified wine. [Read more…]

2015 Academy Awards Re-Cap, or (The Unexpected Virtues of Birdman)

birdman oscar

Travis: Well, that happened.

The 2015 Academy Awards Ceremony was last night, and Birdman cleaned up, winning awards for Best Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, and Cinematography. Alex, I know you’re feeling…well, feelings about this. Talk me through what you’re going through right now. And remember, you’re in a safe space. Don’t hold back.

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